Sunday, February 17, 2019

In case it comes up when you're having lunch with friends







Other drugs? Well, according to CATO: "Border Patrol agents between ports of entry accounted for just 8 percent of hard drug seizures by value in 2018" along the border. Drugs also get flown in and some can be domestically made.

 In short: Well under 1/2 of overdoses are drugs from mexico. Less than 10% of those come in between ports of entry.

But even pretend that the 3,500 number was true. That's: -1/10 of deaths from firearms -A little over 1/2 the deaths from veteran suicides -Under 1/100 of deaths from smoking -1/7 the death from antibiotic-resistant disease

Now, don't take that to mean that preventing 3500 deaths would be bad. It's just that building the border wall doesn't mean that those deaths magically disappear. Hewitt is making a problematic chain of assumptions.

Hewitt assumes that, if the drugs don't pass in between ports of entry, they won't make it into the country. There's no reason to assume the same drugs won't be smuggled through the port of entry.

Or by boat.

Hewitt assumes that, if we reduce the supply of drugs by 5%, we will also reduce the amount of overdoses by 5%. At least 7% of drug deaths are suicides. At least 1% percent of drug deaths are homicides.


Hugh is just guessing. He says he's just guessing. Guessing isn't lying, although with half an hour he could have looked up any of this.
cato study: CDC deaths: VA / suicide:


Could I offer an answer to Hewitt's question about what body count it's going to take to make this a non-political issue?

Maybe the same body count it takes to make gun-control a non-political issue.


...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.
Posted by m at 7:31 AM
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