Showing posts with label Guaidó-Juan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Guaidó-Juan. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 3, 2021

Another bad move

Secretary of State Antony Blinken held his first call with the embattled interim President of Venezuela Juan Guaidó on Tuesday, where he said the U.S. is working with allies to push for a democratic transition in the country and provide humanitarian assistance.

[...]

The call reinforces the Biden administration’s decision to continue recognizing Guaidó as the interim president, despite the European Union announcing in January it was downgrading the Venezuelan opposition leader’s status to “privileged interlocutor.”

Guaidó’s status stems from the 2015 Venezuelan elections when the opposition gained control of the legislature over the ruling party of President Nicolás Maduro.

  The Hill
But he's not the president. Biden himself needs to be in conversation with Maduro.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Sunday, May 10, 2020

Another failed USA attempt to fuck with Venezuela

One of the more compelling sideshows currently running on our national midway is the failed attempt by a claque of American freebooters to facilitate regime change in Venezuela.

[...]

[E]mbedded in the Post's reporting is this little item.
[...] They compiled a dossier on the failed Bay of Pigs attempt to liberate Cuba from the government of Fidel Castro.
[...]

I can count on the fingers of one hand the number of accounts of the Bay of Pigs operation since 1962 that did not also contain the word, "fiasco." Why someone in 2020 would "compile a dossier" on a disastrous attempt to invade Cuba as part of the preparation for a commando raid into Venezuela is best left to broader thinkers than I am. What is there to study about the Bay of Pigs? What is the ultimate lesson? "Don’t lose"?

  Charles P Pierce
A look at the fiasco from Venezuela:
The United States government has opened a probe into army special forces veteran Jordan Goudreau in connection to a thwarted invasion attempt off the coast of Venezuela, the Associated Press reported.

The head of the Miami-based private security firm Silvercorp claimed a leading role in the paramilitary operation which sought to topple the Maduro government.

[...]

The Venezuelan government has reported that eight combatants were killed and a total of 23 captured after an additional ten alleged militants were taken into custody on Wednesday and Thursday. Two US citizens, former green berets Luke Denman and Airan Berry, were among those detained.

[...]

US President Donald Trump said Tuesday that the failed paramilitary plot “has nothing to do with our government.”

  Venezuelanalysis
That's what they always say.
However, speaking to reporters on Wednesday, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo appeared to backtrack on the president’s remark, clarifying that “there was no US government direct involvement.”
Not willing to lie quite as directly as Trump?
“If we'd have been involved, it would have gone differently,” he said.
Right. But still failed.
Pompeo added that Washington will “use every tool” to secure the return of Denman and Berry. He also confirmed that the administration had knowledge of “who bankrolled [the operation],” which he pledged to “unpack…at an appropriate time.”
After they cook up a story.
Miami-based [Juan] Guaido advisor J.J. Rendon confirmed that the opposition contracted Silvercorp’s services in October 2019 for an agreed US $213 million.

The opposition strategist was tapped by Guaido last August to head a “strategic committee” charged with plotting regime change scenarios, including kidnapping Maduro and other top Venezuelan officials. Rendon said the committee went with Silvercorp in September after meeting with other paramilitary contractors who demanded as much as $500 million.
See what happens when you try to go the cheap route?
Rendon claimed that the opposition later broke contact with Goudreau after he failed to deliver on promises of “800 men” and other sources of funding.

Goudreau supplied a copy of the contract in an interview with hard-right journalist Patricia Poleo.

[...]

While the contract only refers to Silvercorp providing “services” such as “strategic planning,” “equipment procuring” and “project execution advisement,” the attachments explicitly mention that project completion amounts to the “exit/removal of current Venezuelan regime and entrance/installation of recognized Venezuelan government.” It also states that Goudreau’s company would “assist and advise” Venezuelan military exiles in “planning and executing an operation to capture/detain/remove Nicolas Maduro and install [...] Guaido.”

[...]

The company would continue to serve an eventual Guaido government in “counter-terrorism,” “counter-narcotics” and other areas.

[...]

In video-taped interviews conducted by Venezuelan authorities, Denman and Berry shed further light on the objectives of the failed mission. Both men confirmed that the operation had the goal of seizing Maiquetia airport in La Guaira where aircraft would land for transporting Maduro to the US. In addition to taking Miraflores Palace, Berry added that targets included the headquarters of the state’s intelligence and counterintelligence arms, as well as La Carlota Airbase in east Caracas.
To whom were they turning Maduro over in the US? Could it be the US government?
Goudreau, for his part, told the Washington Post that the operation is “ongoing,” accusing the Guaido-led opposition of betraying its commitments. Guaido has denied any relationship to Silvercorp or Goudreau.
As you would.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Monday, January 6, 2020

Meanwhile in Venezuela


Yeah, actually, he wasn't re-elected.

And, from The Hill:



Caracas, January 5, 2020 (venezuelanalysis.com) - Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido was handed a defeat Sunday in his bid to secure reelection as president of the country’s National Assembly (AN).

With the votes of reportedly 81 of 150 lawmakers, opposition Deputy for Yaracuy State Luis Parra was named president of the legislature.

[...]

The leadership slate was presented Sunday morning by Deputy Jose Brito in opposition to that headed by incumbent Juan Guaido.

Last month, Brito led a group of opposition legislators in breaking with Guaido following a new corruption scandal engulfing senior AN deputies. Brito, Parra, and other deputies were accused of accepting kickbacks from a Colombian businessman purportedly linked to Venezuela’s CLAP food program in exchange for lobbying US and Colombian authorities. The lawmakers have adamantly denied the allegations, in turn accusing Guaido of corruption. Both Brito and Parra were expelled from the First Justice party in the wake of the allegations.

Following his election to the top parliamentary post last January, Guaido proclaimed himself “interim president” of Venezuela and was immediately recognized by Washington and its allies. In the subsequent twelve months, the opposition leader repeatedly attempted to oust the Maduro government by force, while seeing his popularity plummet amid a series of scandals, including his role in the alleged embezzlement of “humanitarian aid” and links to Colombian paramilitary outfits.

On Sunday, Guaido never entered the legislative palace, claiming he was barred from doing so by security forces. A video circulated on social media even showed the opposition politician trying to scale a fence some time before the vote.

However, his version of events has been called into question by other opposition deputies, who did take part in the session and suggested Guaido could have done the same. AD Deputy William Davila, a staunch Guaido loyalist, was seen freely entering the chamber, and later told reporters that all but a handful of lawmakers were allowed to do so. Video footage showed Guaido refusing to enter except in the company of several deputies whose parliamentary immunity had been revoked for alleged criminal offenses.

[...]

According to Second Vice President Noriega, 31 opposition deputies joined the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela and other Chavista parties in electing the new leadership.

[...]

Opposition outlets reported that a parallel parliament had re-elected Guaido as president with 100 out of 167 votes.

[...]

Guaido had previously attempted to introduce electronic voting so deputies who are abroad, some of them fleeing criminal charges, could take part instead of their substitutes. The move was struck down as unconstitutional by Venezuela’s Supreme Court.

International reaction was swift, with US officials rejecting the new parliamentary leadership and reiterating their backing of Guaido. Acting Assistant Secretary for Western Hemisphere Affairs Michael Kozak called the days events “a farce” and said Guaido remained “interim president.”

[...]

The European Union also published a statement denouncing “irregularities” in Sunday’s vote and stating it would continue to recognize Guaido as National Assembly president.

  Venezuelanalysis
...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Bolton's gone, but we still have Elliott Abrams

And that's not good for anybody.
The U.S. special envoy for Venezuela, Elliott Abrams, said the U.S. government is not “closer” to a military intervention in Venezuela, but warned that Colombia would have full American support in case of an attack by terrorist groups or the Venezuelan armed forces.

  Miami Herald
Why was it necessary to state that at this time?
On Tuesday, Abrams also ruled out that U.S. support for Venezuelan interim President Juan Guaidó’s efforts to join the Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance (TIAR) meant a possible U.S. military action.
And Venezuelans know they can't believe a word coming out of Washington.
“The United States is not closer [to a military conflict with Venezuela], but I do worry a lot about the Colombian-Venezuelan border,” Abrams said in a videoconference on Tuesday from Brussels, where he was discussing the Venezuelan crisis with members of the European Union.

[...]

Abrams said the United States has intelligence information confirming the presence of members of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and the National Liberation Army (ELN) in Venezuela.

[...]

"This is very dangerous, because if there are cross-border attacks from Venezuela into Colombia, we can expect the Colombians to react. And obviously, we would be fully supportive of Colombia in that situation.”

[...]

sMaduro, meanwhile, has denied the accusations and ordered military exercises on the border with Colombia, which has increased tensions in the region.Maduro, meanwhile, has denied the accusations and ordered military exercises on the border with Colombia, which has increased tensions in the region.

On Monday, Maduro activated the Defense Council to discuss actions against an alleged military threat from the Colombian government, which Maduro accuses of planning terrorist plots against Venezuela.

[...]

Both Abrams and Carlos Trujillo, the U.S. ambassador to the Organization of American States, told reporters on Tuesday that invoking the TIAR — also known as the Rio Treaty — did not necessarily mean that Guaidó would have military support from the United States, an expectation that had grown within Venezuela, especially within the opposition.
Now THAT they can believe.

Guaidó is still trying.



Who will agitate now that Bolton has been canned?


...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Monday, July 22, 2019

Meanwhile, in Venezuela

When [Juan] Guaidó declared himself Venezuela’s rightful interim leader on 23 January – and was recognised by dozens of foreign governments, including Britain and the US – the young opposition leader and his backers believed [Venezuelann president Nocolás] Maduro would fall within days.

  Guardian
Funny. We don't talk about that any more.
But half a year later, a massive show of domestic dissent and international pressure has failed to dislodge Hugo Chávez’s unpopular successor.
Unpopular with some. Highly popular with more, despite his shortcomings.
“This was a very high stakes gamble … and it hasn’t really paid off,” said Phil Gunson, a Caracas-based expert for Crisis Group and author of a report on possible solutions to Venezuela’s crisis. “Plan A has certainly not worked.”

That reality has forced Venezuela’s opposition to begin exploring alternatives, particularly after a botched bid to spark a military uprising on 30 April.
With an implied or promised backing from the US not materializing.
Guaidó, meanwhile, has busied himself touring his crisis-stricken country – he has visited 13 of Venezuela’s 23 states since January – in an effort to keep his campaign alive.

[...]

Some have already given up on the 35-year-old politician, amid reports that even Donald Trump – Guaidó’s key backer – is losing interest in his crusade.
Let me correct that: has lost interest.
The commitment of another crucial regional supporter, Jair Bolsonaro, is also in doubt, after Brazil’s far-right president recently dropped a mention of Guaidó from a speech for fear of upsetting Russia’s Vladimir Putin who, along with China’s Xi Jinping, continues to support Maduro.

[...]

“Guaidó is just like the rest of them [in the opposition], he has no plan,” complained Frank Rengifo, a 31-year-old army sergeant who fled over the border into Colombia in mid-March hoping for a US-backed military invasion that never came.

Rengifo – who lives in a hotel near the border town of Cúcuta with hundreds of other stranded defectors – said it was time to up the ante. He hoped a more radical leader, María Corina Machado, could take the lead in toppling Maduro.
They'll have to do it without us. We're on to Iran.
“Guaidó can keep calling protests but people have stopped caring,” he said.
Beto O'Rourke knows how he feels.
Of Guaidó’s doubters, Castro complained: “We love heroes. But once they are defeated, or perceived as defeated, we throw them in the trash. It happened to Henrique Capriles. It happened to Leopoldo López,” she said of two other prominent opposition leaders who have tried – and failed – to defeat Chavismo. “And I feel it has happened with Guaidó.”
...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Saturday, April 13, 2019

Awkward

A Venezuelan "influential military figure" who abandoned Maduro for the US pet Juan Guaidó has been arrested in Spain. On a US warrant.
Venezuela's longtime spy chief was arrested on Friday in Madrid by Spanish police acting on a United States warrant for allegedly trafficking tonnes of cocaine.

Hugo Carvajal, who, for more than a decade, advised late Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez and headed the country's security apparatus, recently became the most influential military figure to declare his loyalty to opposition leader Juan Guaido.

[...]

Friday's arrest is a result of a 2014 indictment by the Southern District of New York in which the US Attorney's Office accuses Carvajal of having "coordinated the transportation of approximately 5,600 kilograms of cocaine from Venezuela to Mexico" in 2006.

[...]

A spokeswoman with Spain's National Court, which handles extradition cases, said that Carvajal would testify on Saturday before Judge Alejandro Abascal in Madrid. He can either accept the extradition to the US or fight it before the court.

  alJazeera
That'll be a kind of a sticky wicket for us if he accepts.
Carvajal, who climbed the ranks in Venezuela since he befriended Chavez in the early 1980s, is no stranger to US law enforcement agencies.

In previous indictments, authorities also named Carvajal as part of several high-ranking Venezuelan military and law enforcement officials who provided a haven to major drug traffickers from neighbouring Colombia.

[...]

In 2014, he became the highest-ranking Venezuelan official ever arrested on a US drug warrant. But authorities in the Dutch Caribbean island of Aruba, where Carvajal was serving as Venezuela's consul, refused to extradite him.

[...]

In mid-February, when Carvajal announced his support for Guaido in a video distributed on social media, the former spy chief said Venezuela's military was in as ramshackle a state as the nation as a whole.

"We can't allow an army, in the hands of a few generals subjugated to Cuban instructions, to become the biggest collaborator of a dictatorial government that has plagued people with misery," he said at the time, asking fellow military to join him.

As recently as two days ago, Carvajal remained hopeful that other former peers would follow his steps.

[...]

The opposition saw Carvajal's criticism of Venezuela's current government as a possible stimulus to prod other military figures to defect, but the country's armed forces have remained largely loyal to current President Nicolas Maduro.
And of the few who defected to Guaidó, we got one arrested.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Thursday, April 4, 2019

Meanwhile in Venezuela


Haven't heard anything out of Old Lardass on Venezuela since the attempted coup fell flat.  Will Trump come to the rescue if Guaidó is arrested?

Stay tuned.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Sunday, February 24, 2019

Regime change for Venezuela falters



Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro announced that Venezuela is breaking diplomatic relations with neighbouring Colombia and gave Colombian diplomats 24 hours to leave the country.

“My patience has run out, we can’t keep allowing Colombian territory to be used for attacks against Venezuela,” he stated to the crowd.

[...]

His comments came at a large anti-imperialist rally in Caracas held under the slogan ‘Hands off Venezuela.’

Tensions have reached new heights along the Venezuelan-Colombian border after self-proclaimed “Interim President” Juan Guaido pledged that aid would enter the country on Saturday “no matter what.”

Looks like Guaidó is learning what many coup attempters have before him: the US will let you down at the last minute. Now he looks like he can't deliver. Of course, it's not over yet, but the Venezuelan people who back Maduro have been handed a great morale victory.
Caracas has denounced the move as a precursor for a US-led military intervention into the country and proceeded to shut down the borders with Dutch Caribbean Islands, Brazil and Colombia on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday respectively. This stance has been supported by both the Chinese and Russian governments, with Russian foreign office spokespersons telling reporters Friday that the “aid” scheme “resembled those in Iraq and Libya.”

[...]

During his speech at the end of the rally, Maduro declared that the “coup d’état” initiated by Juan Guaido 30 days ago had been “defeated” and told his followers that they are “on the right side of history” before challenging Guaido to compete in elections.
He won't, because he knows he would lose.
Maduro also promised to apply justice against anyone who violates Venezuelan law, citing a number of right-wing activists who led isolated incidents of violent protests at the Colombo-Venezuelan border towns of Urena and San Antonio in Táchira State Saturday. The violent protests set fire to a public bus and burnt tyres in the streets in an attempt to open the border crossing.

Finally, Maduro reiterated earlier reports that his team are coordinating US $2 billion worth of “technical humanitarian assistance” channeled through the United Nations, as well as receiving 7.5 tonnes of medicine from Russia.

“Of course there are problems in Venezuela,” he told the crowd, “But who is going to solve them? Mr Trump? Or the Venezuelans?”
I think we know their answer.
The International Red Cross [...] voiced further criticism of the border actions taken by Guaido, this time denouncing the illegal use of its symbols by Guaido’s followers on both the Brazilian and Colombian borders. The Red Cross had previously joined the United Nations in describing the aid plan as “politicised.”
I assume Guaidó is still in Colombia, but I don't know. So far, Maduro hasn't called for his arrest.
The tense day saw a handful of skirmishes between right-wing activists left in Colombia after Friday’s “Live Aid” concert and the Venezuelan military. Despite the activists flanking the “aid” trucks as they approached the closed border in Simon Bolivar international bridge, the trucks were able to pass the checkpoints, as tear gas and rubber bullets were used to repel the opposition militants, with witnesses reporting the use of molotov cocktails and other weapons in attempts to try to force entry into Venezuela.

[...]

No deaths were reported on the Colombian border, but a number of wounded are receiving medical attention.

[...]

A tense standoff in Pacaraima on the Venezuelan-Brazilian border resulted in trucks coming from Boa Vista being blocked. The region had seen two deaths Friday when indigenous citizens apparently supporting the entry of the “aid” confronted a military convoy en route to the border, and there were unconfirmed reports of four more deaths in the sector Saturday.

[...]

Unconfirmed claims later in the day from Colombian migration offices suggested that 23 Venezuelan soldiers had abandoned their posts during the day, but no more details have been made available.



《Ser Allendista y no ser Chavista es una contradicción ideológica》 - Pablo Sepúlveda Allende ‏ 
("To be an Allendista and not be a Chavista is an ideological contradiction.")









Bingo.

Case in point:


Trump has been talking up war with Maduro since 2017, when he repeatedly asked McMaster for a plan to overthrow Maduro. New McCabe book confirms Now, Trump says "all options are on the table" and Rubio objects to Senate resolution that forbids war.

I want aid to get to Venezuelans. But let's be honest - Venezuela didn't just lurch into humanitarian crisis. The aid is being sent there now as part of a regime change strategy. Many are hoping that it will be the match that lights a civil war against Maduro.

Senator Rubio rushed to tweet out reports today of Maduro allies firing into Colombian territory, warning that the "the United States WILL help Columbia confront any aggression against them." Venezuela ordered Colombian diplomats out in 24 hours, ramping up the crisis.

Maduro is evil, and the U.S. should pursue a strategy to undermine him and prompt new elections. No one can defend what he has done to Venezuela. But it's quite a different thing for the U.S. to incite a civil war with no real plan for how it ends (sound familiar?).

And finally - and perhaps most importantly - go look up the 1947 Rio Treaty, It's a western hemisphere mutual defense treaty, and may not require a war declaration if Trump is legitimately coming to the defense of Colombia. Don't think the Venezuela hawks don't know this.
Indeed it sounds familiar.  Works every time.

But, Senator Murphy wipes it all out with his next tweet:



This is not democracy promotion, and every time you pretend it might be, you show your true colors. This is regime change for the benefit of the US hegemony.  He who controls the oil wins.


(Not exactly "to raise the international community formally".  More like
"formally propose to the international community that we have to open all options".)





And to do that, we have to remove sanctions and free up their money in the US and UK.

But we won't.




UPDATE:  It appears Guaidó is indeed still in Colombia, and scheduled to meet with Mike Pence tomorrow.

Friday, February 22, 2019

We desperately need election system reform



No shit.  I'm not quite as sick of Democrats as Republicans, but they're constantly improving their position.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Venezuelan armed forces back Maduro



They also backed Chávez during that coup, which put a quick end to it.  I don't see how Guaidó succeeds without the support of the army.





Maduro responds




How's that going to work out if Guaidó is claiming to be president?  Will US citizens leave?  I'd suggest they do, no matter who appears to be in charge.  Shit is going to get serious.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

Regarding Venezuela from Venezuela

History repeating.




He would not have done it without assurance from the Trump admin that they'd back him and publicly recognize him as president.















As was the coup against Hugo Chávez in 2002.








WHAT?!



Can we officially recognize Bernie Sanders as president of the United States?
Up until this month, virtually no one on the international sphere had heard about Juan Guaidó. Now, the 35-year-old former engineer has been sworn in as Venezuela's interim leader.

For the last few days, Guaidó has stood at the frontlines of an opposition uprising in Venezuela, leading protestors on the streets as they demanded the ousting of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro, who earlier this month began his new six-year term as the country's leader.

[...]

In a speech Wednesday, Guaidó invoked Venezuela's constitution and declared himself the nation's interim president.

  Business Insider
It was a coup. How very like America to support a coup.
Protests in Venezuela that began as small demonstrations have now evolved to national clashes between Venezuelans led by the opposition and the National Guard.

[...]

On January 15, Guaidó led the Venezuelan legislature as it declared Maduro an illegitimate president. Though the country's National Assembly has been largely powerless since Maduro ordered the nation's Supreme Court to dissolve it in 2017, the declaration echoed internationally.
President Nicolas Maduro has ordered a complete review of US-Venezuela relations after US Vice President Mike Pence published a video urging Venezuelans to overthrow the government.

The video comes as both Chavista and opposition citizens take to the streets on a holiday commemorating the overthrowing of the Perez Jimenez military dictatorship on January 23, 1958. The Venezuelan opposition has claimed the date will be “historic” this year and a key step in the “transition” efforts.

[...]

In accordance with Venezuela’s Constitution, Maduro was sworn in January 10 for his second six-year mandate after defeating three other candidates in the presidential elections of May 2018. The elections, which were boycotted by some sectors of the opposition, were declared to be free, fair, and transparent by independent international electoral observers in the country at the time.

[...]

Caracas also accused Pence of working with opposition activists to sow violence in Wednesday’s marches, and later blame it on the government.

Communications Minister Jorge Rodriguez linked Pence’s efforts, which included a recent phone call to Guaido, to Monday’s unsuccessful mutiny and arms robbery by a number of national guardsmen. During the robbery, 51 weapons were stolen, Rodriguez stated, of which 40 have been recovered.

[...]

US Republican Senator Marco Rubio, a vocal Maduro critic and one of the leading proponents of US sanctions, took to Twitter Tuesday night, predicting violence at Wednesdays marches and preemptively pointing the finger at the government’s intelligence agency, the SEBIN.

[...]

In light of the threats of violence, President Maduro looked to lower tensions.

“I call for calm and good sense, maximum consciousness and maximum popular mobilisation to defend the homeland, democracy, and the Constitution,” Maduro proclaimed Tuesday. A large Chavista march is set to depart from three points in Caracas Wednesday before joining close to Miraflores Palace.

  Venezuelanalysis
People are going to die.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.