Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Day four - US attack on Iran


Praise Dear Leader!


Not so fast, little lady.

Donald Trump's joy and expectation of a Nobel Prize evaporated within hours of his announcement that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire.  I know, you're surprised.  Bibi can't have peace.  He's trying to stay out of jail. If he has to destroy the planet to do it.

A tentative truce faltered Tuesday when Israel accused Iran of launching missiles into its airspace after the ceasefire was supposed to take effect and vowed to retaliate.

Iran’s military denied firing on Israel, state media reported — but explosions boomed and sirens sounded across northern Israel midmorning, and an Israeli military official said two Iranian missiles were intercepted.

U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters at the White House before departing for the NATO summit at The Hague that in his view, both sides had violated the nascent agreement he had announced earlier.

“They violated it but Israel violated it too,” Trump said. ”I’m not happy with Israel.”

  Chicago Tribune




Apparently, Trump gives orders to Israel via social media.


LOL.


And then...


"We" made the deal?  

By "unload" he means bombed Iran.  "Right after" the deal was made.  He's stupid, and Israel poked him in the eye.


100%.
"When I say 12 hours [of ceasefire], you don't go out in the first hour and drop everything you have on them," Trump said.

  Axios
Not everything.  They didn't drop everything they have.

And, frankly, at least from his bleat, that 12 hour business was confusing.


1) If it's a ceasefire for ONLY 12 hours, how will the war be considered "ENDED"?
2) Iran will start the ceasefire, and, "upon the 12th hour," Israel will start the ceasefire. Israel gets 12 hours free fire before they have to start the ceasefire? "During each ceasefire, the other side will remain PEACEFUL and RESPECTFUL."  So, no free fire.  Two individual ceasefires, but the other side has to cease fire, too, so...  What the fuck?

At least he has a name for the war.
A White House source said Trump spoke to Netanyahu in "an exceptionally firm and direct way" about his objections to the Israeli strike.

"The president told Netanyahu what needed to happen to sustain the ceasefire. The prime minister understood the severity of the situation and the concerns President Trump expressed," the source said.

[...]

A senior Israeli official said Netanyahu told Trump that he could not cancel the strike completely and that some response was needed to Iran's ceasefire violation.

"In the end, it was decided to significantly scale back the strike, cancel the attack on a large number of targets and strike only one radar system outside of Tehran," the Israeli official said.

  Axios
So, at least Trump can say it would have been worse without his input. I wonder why he didn't. Perhps because he jumped the gun and shot from the hip. He'll get there eventually.


100%.
The prime minister's office said in a statement that during the call Trump "expressed his deep appreciation for Israel — which achieved all of the war's objectives. He also expressed his confidence in the stability of the ceasefire."
Misplaced confidence, I guess you could say.
fter the call with Netanyahu, Trump posted again to Truth Social to say he had convinced Israel to abort its mission.
That was the "friendly 'Plane Wave'" post. But, he was wrong. And now he's mad.

It doesn't appear Trump's entrance into the fray is actually pushing things the right way.


Is one of them Don Jr?  


Wait. What?


YWA will be here for it.  In the meantime, further insanity today on the "12 Day War" will be updated below.

UPDATE 02:20 pm:


Possible.  But I would say it's more likely that he's just being himself trying to claim total success in everything he ever does.




Is that even what happened?  Bombs dropped perfectly on their targets?

The assessment [...] was produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s intelligence arm. It is based on a battle damage assessment conducted by US Central Command in the aftermath of the US strikes.

[...]

The analysis of the damage to the sites and the impact of the strikes on Iran’s nuclear ambitions is ongoing, and could change as more intelligence becomes available.

[...]

One of the people said the centrifuges are largely “intact.”

“So the (DIA) assessment is that the US set them back maybe a few months, tops.”

[...]

[DOD Secretary Pete Hegseth] told CNN, “Based on everything we have seen — and I’ve seen it all — our bombing campaign obliterated Iran’s ability to create nuclear weapons. Our massive bombs hit exactly the right spot at each target and worked perfectly. The impact of those bombs is buried under a mountain of rubble in Iran; so anyone who says the bombs were not devastating is just trying to undermine the President and the successful mission.“

[...]

[But according to the assessment,] the impact to all three sites — Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan — was largely restricted to aboveground structures.

  CNN
So much for bunker busting.

Also...
Iran has several other sites in its nuclear program.

  PBS
While Trump and Hegseth have been bullish about the success of the strikes, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine said Sunday that while the damage assessment was still ongoing it would be “way too early” to comment on whether Iran still retains some nuclear capabilities.

Earlier on Tuesday, classified briefings for both the House and Senate on the operation were canceled.

The all-Senate briefing has been moved to Thursday, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

Two separate sources familiar told CNN the briefing for all House lawmakers has also been postponed. It was not immediately clear why it was delayed or when it would be rescheduled.

  CNN
They need a little time to gather up some "evidence". And for Pete Hegseth to memorize what he's supposed to say.  They know if they hold it now, they'll even get some Republican resistance.
[T]here have long been questions about whether the US’ bunker-buster bombs, known as Massive Ordnance Penetrators, would be able to fully destroy Iran’s highly fortified nuclear sites that are buried deep underground — particularly at Fordow and Isfahan, Iran’s largest nuclear research complex.
Well, now they know.
Notably, the US struck Isfahan with Tomahawk missiles launched from a submarine instead of a bunker-buster bomb. That is because there was an understanding that the bomb would likely not successfully penetrate Isfahan’s lower levels, which are buried even deeper than Fordow, one of the sources said.
Oh.
US officials believe Iran also maintains secret nuclear facilities that were not targeted in the strike and remain operational, according to two sources familiar with the matter.
Oh.

There's going to be some intense scrutiny of the people who had access to that report.  Kristi Noem, Pete Hegseth, and Tulsi Gabbard may all be on the hot seat for not preventing the leak.

 UPDATE 06/25/2025:  The shake-up has begun.


These are the guys who are supposed to be better than Kristi Noem.


 

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