Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Democracy lovers, do not lose hope (yet)

Democrat John Fetterman flipped Pennsylvania early Wednesday morning, giving his party 48 seats. That means Democrats can keep the Senate by winning two out of four remaining battlegrounds: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Wisconsin.

Arizona and Nevada are the biggest question marks, with significant numbers of votes still to be counted in both states.

Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto is facing off with Republican Adam Laxalt in Nevada. Laxalt leads with more than 70 percent of the expected vote counted. But his advantage is tenuous because of a glut of potentially Democratic-leaning outstanding ballots. The state’s two most populous counties — Democratic-leaning Clark County, home of Las Vegas, and battleground Washoe County, home of Reno — won’t start counting mail ballots received on Election Day until Wednesday at the earliest, The Nevada Independent reported. The two counties make up nearly 90 percent of the state’s population.

Additionally, ballots that have a postmark from the United States Postal Service by Election Day, but are delivered to election officials by Saturday Nov. 12, will also be counted.

  Politico
Currently, Laxalt has 49.9% to Cortez Masto's 47.2%, so expect screaming and demands for recounts if Cortez Masto comes out the winner.
Arizona, too, still has many votes outstanding. Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly has the edge, and his lead over Republican Blake Masters is expected to shrink dramatically — but not erode completely.
Keep your fingers crossed.
In Maricopa County, the state’s largest county, mail ballots that were returned close to Election Day will not be tallied until Wednesday at the earliest. Additionally, ballots that were cast at polling places and could not be read by tabulation machines — reportedly a widespread occurrence in Maricopa — must now be tallied at central voting locations. Officials said before the election that they hoped to have 99 percent of ballots tabulated by Friday.
Again, if Kelly comes out the winner, expect GOP squealing.

The tabulation in the Warnock (49.4%) vs Walker (48.5%) election, with 98% of the precincts counted, is no doubt going to automatically kick off a runoff, which is slated for December 6.  So, we could be another month before the Senate is decided.  Again.  Christ.
Alaska’s Senate race is also unresolved. The question is not which party will control the seat but which Republican will win it.

GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski is facing a challenge from Trump-backed Republican, Kelly Tshibaka, after Murkowski voted to convict Trump on impeachment charges in 2021. Both Republicans advanced through Alaska’s new top-four, all-party primary into a ranked-choice general election. Murkowski is currently trailing Tshibaka in the vote count, but the incumbent is more likely to pick up Democratic voters who ranked her second in a ranked-choice retabulation, which would take place in late November if no candidate gets to 50 percent.
I like ranked-choice voting. It should be a national standard.

And, damn, Wisconsin, it could hardly be closer (50.5% to 49.5%), but with 99% of precincts counted, it looks like that idiot Ron Johnson will hold onto his seat.

I'm praying for mail-in ballots to pull Democrats up. At any rate, if they do win these races, there will be lawsuits and recount demands galore.
Republicans are still leading the race for the House majority, but the number of uncalled races point to how surprisingly close the battle for the chamber has been.

Of the 26 House races POLITICO forecast as “toss-ups,” just nine were called as of early Wednesday morning. Another 22 races POLITICO rated as “Lean Democrat” or “Lean Republican” are also uncalled. Altogether, that includes nine races in California, a slow-counting state — one of several big reasons why resolving the battle for the House could take some time.
Doesn't look good.

Our long national nightmare is not over.  The presidential election in 2024 is going to be a nightmare within a nightmare.

UPDATE:  On the other hand...


Thank you, Gen Z.




UPDATE:





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