McCabe testimony (from the memo)

I think this is what we're going to need to see the minority report's rebuttal to (if they have one):

Note: he doesn't say there were no other documents or facts that were in support of a warrant, just that the FBI wouldn't have even sought a warrant without the dossier.  I don't know if that's true or if that's his opinion.  He was, after all deputy director.  He should know.

So this strikes me as damaging to Mueller's investigation.  I'm not concerned that Mueller doesn't have an explanation that's perfectly legitimate, but we won't get to see it until Mueller is finished.  That's not good for proponents of stringing Trump up by his tiny thumbs.

Maybe somebody could get hold of that pee tape and release it.

I don't see how this would have any bearing on the obstruction of justice case, though.  Nor the money laundering one.  Other than to muddy the whole thing in people's minds.

...but hey, do what you want...you will anyway.

UPDATE:  For clarity (I hope), I should say that what I think is the bare bones of this crap is that a) the FBI was interested in and began investigating Carter Page back in July - or maybe as early as 2013 when they discovered Russian attempts to recruit him - and, b) Nunes and the Trump cabal are objecting to a FISA warrant in October allowing them to investigate the Trump campaign through Page.

Exactly when during the summer of 2016 the surveillance of Page began is unclear. Importantly, however, an unidentified government official told the New York Times that the FBI and DOJ waited until Page was no longer part of the Trump campaign before seeking the warrant — investigators being leery of crossing the line of direct spying on a political campaign member. The Trump team distanced itself from Page in early August, so it was presumably around this time when monitoring began.

  National Review

The National Review is in error about when Page was out of the campaign - that was late September, according to this timeline and this Washington Post article.  That's still within the parameters of waiting until he's not in the campaign to secretly monitor him.  He's still in contact with members of the Trump campaign, though, and makes a trip to Moscow.

This is the most confusing bunch of investigations since Watergate.  But maybe that's because I wasn't buried up to my nose in the reporting on Watergate.  I was actually living a life.

UPDATE:  Hugely important:

That, I think was the only thing that made the memo actually of any import.  If that's gone, the memo is pure shit.