Sunday, June 18, 2017

Good God

What a dick. What a dick.

He's still threatened by Hillary and Obama, even though they are history and HE is president.

Nice to know we have an insecure baby for a president.

Also, he already posted about the Rasmussen Poll two days ago. At which time we learned the Rasmussen poll taps all of 500 people for it's stats.

Only 38 percent of Americans in a Gallup poll released Thursday said they approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-seven percent said they disapprove.

Similarly, the president's approval rating stood at 40 percent in a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Wednesday, while his disapproval rating stood at 56 percent.

And in an Economist/YouGov poll released Wednesday, 39 percent of Americans said they approve of the job he's doing, while 52 percent said they disapprove.


In a RealClearPolitics average of polls, his approval rating stands today at 39.9 percent, and his disapproval stands at 54.4 percent.


These polls and other recent surveys paint a fairly grim picture for Mr. Trump: his presidential approval rating is not the lowest it's ever been, but it's close.


Right-leaning Rasmussen Reports, which has consistently shown Trump with higher approval ratings than other pollsters, provided Trump with some rare good news with the release of its latest poll. Trump was, unsurprisingly, quick to acclaim the landmark of gaining the approval of half of the American electorate.


The milestone in the polls was also cheered by Matt Drudge, founder of the right-wing website Drudge Report.

“Sound of the atom splitting... coming from Rasmussen, most accurate poll of ’16,” Drudge said in a rare tweet Friday.

Drudge was, not inaccurately, referring to the fact that of all the opinion polls released on the eve of the 2016 election, Rasmussen's was the closest to getting the final result right.


But Rasmussen has long been a significant outlier when it comes to Trump’s approval rating. The Real Clear Politics average of the most recent approval ratings shows Trump at 39.9 percent. Other than Rasmussen, the highest Trump’s approval rating stands elsewhere is 42 percent with The Economist/YouGov. The lowest is just 34 percent with Quinnipiac.


In every most recent poll, bar Rasmussen's latest, the percentage of respondents disapproving of Trump is significantly higher than those who approve of the job he is doing.


President Donald Trump’s approval rating hit another low in Quinnipiac University’s poll, which found this week that 34 percent of voters approve of his job performance and 57 percent disapprove.

Trump’s previous low in the Quinnipiac survey was a 35 percent positive and 57 percent negative rating, registered on April 4.

The university’s most recent poll, released Wednesday and conducted from May 31 to June 6, also found that a large majority of respondents — 68 percent — believe that the president is “not level-headed” (29 percent say he is). Even among members of his own party, this holds true: 64 percent of Republicans say Trump is not level-headed, while 32 percent think he is.


This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines and is updated whenever a new poll is released.


I was intrigued about the Rasmussen result, so I did a bit of digging and also reached out to CNN polling czar Jennifer Agiesta for her take. There are a few reasons to be skeptical about the Rasmussen result. * Rasmussen surveys "likely voters" in their daily approval polls. They argue it gives them a more accurate reading of the actual voting electorate -- and certainly a more accurate one than polling firms that test all adults. The problem, according to Agiesta, is that we have no real idea of how Rasmussen decides who a "likely voter" is. Is it based on the 2016 election? 2012? Some combo? Rasmussen won't say.

Rasmussen used an automated voice (as opposed to a real, live person) to conduct their polls. They are, therefore, barred by law from contacting people on cell phones. People who only use cell phones tend to be younger and more diverse than those who have landlines.


Most pollsters use a technique called random digit dialing, which is exactly what it sounds like, to build a representative sample. Others -- particularly partisan pollsters -- poll off a privately maintained voter file. (More on that here.) Which one does Rasmussen use? We don't know if they use either -- or some other way to develop a random sample of the public -- because they don't release details on how they do it.


The larger point here: No one poll should be taken as the "truth" about where Trump -- or any other politician -- stands. Polls are, by their nature, snapshots in time.


The rise in Trump's approval numbers tracks closely with his decision to strike a Syrian air base that US officials say was the staging ground for a chemical attack by that country's government on its own people.

So look out world.

 ...but hey, do what you will anyway.

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