Wednesday, February 17, 2016

So We Won't Get a Coronation

A new poll finds that Democratic presidential hopefuls Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in a dead heat nationwide.

Clinton narrowly edges Sanders with 44 percent support, compared to the Vermont senator’s 42 percent support, a result that is within the Quinnipiac University poll’s margin of error.

  The Hill
Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders is in a dead heat[in Nevada] with rival Hillary Clinton just days before this weekend's Nevada caucuses, according to a new CNN/ORC poll.

Clinton leads in the state with 48 percent support, followed closely by Sanders with 47 percent support.

[...]

The CNN/ORC poll, which surveyed 282 likely Democratic voters in Nevada from Feb. 10 – 15, has a margin of error of 6 percent.

[...]

The former first lady led in the poll by 16 points in October, besting Sanders by a 50 to 34 percent margin.

  The Hill
Six percent is a big margin,so I wouldn't count on this poll for anything as a stand-aone. But if it's the same polling group and same polled group as the one in October, that would say quite a lot.

Also, I expect Bernie's numbers to keep growing simply on the adage that people will vote for a name they recognize, and Bernie hasn't yet had much national press.

And it's early yet.

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